Prognosis, from a digital twin

We build a digital twin of a patient’s liver and run it forward in time.

What comes back is a forecast of their disease, and a way to test treatment decisions before they are made.

1 · The product

One patient, one liver, followed through time.

The Px Twin workspace follows a patient’s liver through time, and shows where it is heading.

Cholangiography study with per-stricture measurements
Cholangiography, measured: per-stricture calibre, stenosis grading, tracking over serial studies.
Lesion map of one liver followed over ten years
Ten years of one liver: lesions tracked segment by segment as disease progresses.
Longitudinal trajectories over 120 months
120 months of trajectories: stricture calibre, hepatic volume, and the prognostic score panel.

Demonstration data shown, not a real patient.

2 · What a forecast unlocks

A forecast changes what a clinician and a drug developer can do.

Treat at the right time.

What happens if we escalate now, and what if we wait? A forecast lets the timing of treatment be decided with evidence.

Act before the damage.

Transplant assessment moves earlier when the trajectory demands it. Risks that grow with time are seen while there is still time.

Scan when it matters.

Stable patients are spared scans they do not need. Progressing patients are scanned sooner. Imaging is ordered when it changes a decision.

Run smaller, faster trials.

Pick the patients who will progress inside the trial window. Run the same trial with fewer patients. Test a protocol before recruiting anyone.

Drug developers come first: liver-disease trials are long and expensive precisely because nobody can measure progression well. A clinician-facing service follows regulatory approval.

3 · Where we start

We start where a forecast is worth the most.

Our first disease is autoimmune sclerosing cholangitis (ASC), the form of primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) that begins in childhood. The bile ducts scar and narrow. No therapy is approved to slow it, and no trial in the disease has an approved surrogate endpoint. Prognosis today rests on scores computed at a single moment, and none of them says where the patient is going.

The work is clinically grounded from the first day: it is advised by a consultant transplant hepatologist at a national liver transplant centre.

FirstASC, the proving ground.
ThenPSC, where the drug trials are running today.
ThenAutoimmune and cholestatic liver disease at large.
ThenCirrhosis, liver cancer, and other organs, and the interactions between them.

4 · Team

The team.

Jay Liu
Jay LiuFounder
Twelve years in AI research, with award-winning work in the pharma space. NIHR artificial intelligence grant assessor. Overall project lead: clinical strategy, the regulatory route and commercial relationships.
Adrien Verny
Adrien VernyFounder & technical lead
Fifteen years of award-winning work across AI research and production. Designed the foundational hepatology AI models commissioned by EASL, the European Association for the Study of the Liver. Manages the engineering and research team.

5 · Contact

Contact.

Hale House, 76 Portland Place, London W1B 1NT.

Reach us through Jay Liu on LinkedIn.

Px Twin London Px Twin Limited · 17387524 Registered in England & Wales